Eighteen Mile Creek

Fair

About Eighteen Mile Creek

Eighteen Mile Creek is a Lake Erie tributary in New York, draining a 120-square-mile watershed. The river is one of the actively-fished steelhead tributaries that make up Steelhead Alley — the south-shore Lake Erie steelhead fishery. Stocking and regulations are managed by the New York Department of Environmental Conservation (NY DEC).

The optimal fishing flow on Eighteen Mile Creek is 80–200 CFS — flows above this range are typically too high and stained, flows below run low and clear. The river's long-term median flow is approximately 122 CFS, computed from the last several years of USGS gauge readings. Steelhead enter the river from late September through early May, with peak runs typically in October–November and February–April.

Current conditions (live, updated every 15 minutes): flow 24 CFS, clarity clear. Steelhead Addiction's Guide's Report rates the river FAIR as of this reading.

Flow Rate
24
CFS
Gauge Height
2.79
ft
Water Temp
-
°F
Air Temp
50.1
°F
Clarity
Clear
Wind
1
mph SSE

Last updated: 2 minutes ago (6:15 AM EDT)

Gauge Flow (CFS) Height (ft) Water Temp Updated
Eighteenmile Creek at Hamburg (primary) 24 2.79 - 2 minutes ago 6:15 AM EDT
S Branch Eighteenmile Creek at Eden Valley 6 3.22 - 2 minutes ago 6:15 AM EDT

Guide's Report

fair smallmouth bass fishing

Based on current conditions as of Wed, Jun 3 at 6:15 AM EDT (2 minutes ago)

Report generated 6:17:46 AM EDT

Running 24 CFS, water is clear. Conditions are marginal. Local knowledge is your edge today. Visibility is high. Stealth is your best friend. Frozen Guides, Warm Hearts.

Steelhead green DAWN DAWN DUSK 74° 76° 70° 61° 58° Sunset 8:48pm Solar Noon 1:13pm Dawn 5:04am Dusk 9:22pm Sunrise 5:38am Dawn 5:04am 24 CFS 🌖 91% Waning Gibbous N E S W 1 SSE mph 30.30" inHg stable Now 6:17am
Eighteen Mile Creek
Today's Weather: Fair SW 3mph
Coming up: Mostly Clear
Flow Rate
0 CFS · 2.79 ft
2th percentile · Very Low
24h trend
-2.8%
N E S W 1 SSE mph wind 72h ago now High 218 Normal 122 Low 85 Flood 989 OPT 6h 24h 72h 2.79ft
Optimal window 80–200 CFS
Distance 56 CFS below optimal · 2.79ft
Clouds · 50°F · SSE 1mph
30.30"
Guide says: Running 24 CFS, water is clear. Conditions are marginal. Local knowledge is your edge today. Visibility is high. Stealth is your best friend. Frozen Guides, Warm Hearts.
"Forty Dollar Egg, Five Dollar Fish"

Flow is low — fish are stacked in the deepest pools and runs. Approach carefully, they spook easy.

Clear water — ideal for visual hunters like smallmouth. Long leaders, natural colors, and finesse presentations like drop-shots will produce.

How to Fish It

Fly/Lure Selection

Clear water demands finesse. 6-8lb fluoro, natural colored tubes (watermelon, green pumpkin), 3-inch drop-shot worms, or small swimbaits.

Where to Fish

Target boulder runs, bedrock pools, bridge pilings, and shaded banks where river smallies find cover.

What's Coming

No rain in the forecast — flows will continue to drop. Fish deep pools and slow runs where smallmouth stack up in low water.

Summer Species on Eighteen Mile Creek

Beyond steelhead — species actively targeted in Great Lakes tributaries right now.

See summer gear →

7-Day Flow & Temperature

Flow distribution

1095-day history · n=2,232 · 85% confidence

2th percentile · Low
6h 24h 72h 24 CFS 85 p25 122 p50 218 p75 OPTIMAL freq
Now vs history
56 CFS below optimal
Optimal window
80–200 CFS
Per-river researched optimal range
Typical range
85–218 CFS
25th–75th percentile
Seasonal context: Current flow is below typical for June. June median on this river: 26 CFS (n=56 hourly samples).
Clarity vs flow ranges
Steelhead Green likely now
69–111 CFS typical
Stained
109–168 CFS typical
Muddy
241–820 CFS typical
Low: Below typical — fish may be hugging deeper runs.
-2 -1 0 1 2 23722226812,088 Theoretical z (standard normal) Sample flow (CFS)
Sample quantiles | Theoretical line Good fit (78%)

Points on the dashed line mean the river's flow distribution is log-normal. Bows at the tails suggest multiple flow regimes (snowmelt vs rain events) or sensor artifacts. The math for this river uses log-space statistics, so a poor fit here is a reason to squint at the optimal zone.

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Near Eighteen Mile Creek

Local Fly Shops & Guides Featured

Water Wizard Tackle Co

Hamburg, NY · 4 mi

tackle shop

Full-service tackle shop since 1983. Handmade jigs, rod and reel repair near Eighteen Mile Creek.

Webers Bait & Tackle

Angola, NY · 10 mi

tackle shop

Local bait and tackle near Lake Erie and Eighteen Mile Creek steelhead water.

The Hairy Trout Fly & Tackle

West Seneca, NY · 10 mi

fly shop

Combined barbershop and fly/tackle shop specializing in steelhead and Great Lakes gear. Houses 716 Fly Fishing guide service.

Around The Bend Fly Fishing

Angola, NY · 10 mi

guide

Certified instructor and award-winning angler. Walk-and-wade steelhead trips on 18 Mile Creek and other Erie tribs.

Buffalo Fly Co

Buffalo, NY · 13 mi

guide

Buffalo's premier fly fishing guide service. Lake-run steelhead, brown trout, and salmon. Beginner-friendly, all gear provided.

Queen City Guiding

Springville, NY · 17 mi

guide

Full fly shop and guided wade/drift boat steelhead trips on Cattaraugus Creek and other Lake Erie and Ontario tribs.

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30-Day Statistics

Min Flow
24 CFS
Max Flow
1,790 CFS
Avg Flow
143 CFS
Min Temp
-
Max Temp
-
Avg Temp
-

7-Day Fishing Outlook

Multiple days of heavy rain ahead — expect significant flow increases and muddy water. Plan trips for windows between rain events or 1-2 days after.

Best day to fish: Friday — Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.

Friday is the day before rain moves in — barometric pressure drop often triggers aggressive feeding. Don't miss it.

Daily Fishing Forecast

Weather-based daily ratings — independent of current river flow. A "good" forecast day can still mean a blown-out river. Cross-reference with the Guide's Report above for a complete picture.

Overnight — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.

NWS Forecast Detail

Overnight: Mostly clear, with a low around 52. Southwest wind around 3 mph.

Wednesday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 76. West wind 2 to 7 mph.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

Thursday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

Friday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Southwest wind 5 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Saturday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Moderate rain will push flows up. Water may get stained to muddy — switch to bright flies and heavier weight.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Sunday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Moderate rain will push flows up. Water may get stained to muddy — switch to bright flies and heavier weight.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60.

Tuesday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 82.

Forecast via NWS, updated 1 hour ago (5:04 AM EDT). Fishing ratings are estimates based on weather — always check current river conditions.

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