Eighteenmile Creek (Niagara)

Good

About Eighteenmile Creek (Niagara)

Eighteenmile Creek (Niagara) is a Lake Ontario tributary in New York, draining a 86-square-mile watershed. The river is part of the Lake Ontario steelhead and salmon fishery — distinct from Steelhead Alley but sharing the same species mix. Stocking and regulations are managed by the New York Department of Environmental Conservation (NY DEC).

The optimal fishing flow on Eighteenmile Creek (Niagara) is 100–230 CFS — flows above this range are typically too high and stained, flows below run low and clear. The river's long-term median flow is approximately 206 CFS, computed from the last several years of USGS gauge readings. Steelhead enter the river from late September through early May, with peak runs typically in October–November and February–April.

Current conditions (live, updated every 15 minutes): flow 68 CFS, water 67.6°F, clarity clear. Steelhead Addiction's Guide's Report rates the river GOOD as of this reading.

Flow Rate
68
CFS
Gauge Height
5.87
ft
Water Temp
67.6
°F
Air Temp
49.9
°F
Clarity
Clear
Wind
7
mph WSW

Last updated: 2 minutes ago (6:15 AM EDT)

Gauge Flow (CFS) Height (ft) Water Temp Updated
Eighteenmile Creek at Newfane (primary) 68 5.87 - 2 minutes ago 6:15 AM EDT
Eighteenmile Creek at Burt 108 3.05 67.6°F 2 minutes ago 6:15 AM EDT

Guide's Report

good smallmouth bass fishing

Based on current conditions as of Wed, Jun 3 at 6:15 AM EDT (2 minutes ago)

Report generated 6:17:45 AM EDT

Running 68 CFS, water is clear, 68°F — active warmwater feeding. Good enough to make the drive. Bring your A-game. Visibility is high. Stealth is your best friend. Three Layers Deep and Still Cold.

Steelhead green DAWN DAWN DUSK 76° 82° 74° 60° 58° Sunset 8:49pm Solar Noon 1:13pm Dawn 5:01am Dusk 9:24pm Sunrise 5:36am Dawn 5:01am 68 CFS 🌖 91% Waning Gibbous N E S W 7 WSW mph 30.27" inHg stable 67.6°F Water Temp Now 6:17am
Eighteenmile Creek (Niagara)
Today's Weather: Fair SW 5mph
Coming up: Mostly Clear
Flow Rate
0 CFS · 5.87 ft
6th percentile · Very Low
24h trend
+6.2%
N E S W 7 WSW mph wind 72h ago now High 382 Normal 206 Low 116 Flood 679 OPT 6h 24h 72h 5.87ft
Optimal window 100–230 CFS
Distance 32 CFS below optimal · 5.87ft
Rises into range by Tue 1:02pm (~100 CFS)
Clouds · 50°F · WSW 7mph
30.27"
Guide says: Running 68 CFS, water is clear, 68°F — active warmwater feeding. Good enough to make the drive. Bring your A-game. Visibility is high. Stealth is your best friend. Three Layers Deep and Still Cold.
"Skunk Risk Advisory"

Flow is low — fish are stacked in the deepest pools and runs. Approach carefully, they spook easy.

Clear water — ideal for visual hunters like smallmouth. Long leaders, natural colors, and finesse presentations like drop-shots will produce.

Water at 68°F — post-spawn and early summer active zone. Bass are feeding aggressively in the shallows.

How to Fish It

Technique

This is tube and drop-shot weather. Drag tubes or drop-shots over rocky structures, reefs, and current seams. Active retrieve will trigger strikes.

Fly/Lure Selection

Clear water demands finesse. 6-8lb fluoro, natural colored tubes (watermelon, green pumpkin), 3-inch drop-shot worms, or small swimbaits.

Where to Fish

Target boulder runs, bedrock pools, bridge pilings, and shaded banks where river smallies find cover.

Timing

Dawn and dusk windows are prime. Get out early before the sun is high, or fish the last 90 minutes of light.

What's Coming

No rain in the forecast — flows will continue to drop. Fish deep pools and slow runs where smallmouth stack up in low water.

Summer Species on Eighteenmile Creek

Beyond steelhead — species actively targeted in Great Lakes tributaries right now.

See summer gear →

Water temp 67.6°F — warm enough for active warmwater species.

7-Day Flow & Temperature

Flow distribution

1095-day history · n=2,233 · 85% confidence

6th percentile · Low
6h 24h 72h 68 CFS 116 p25 206 p50 382 p75 OPTIMAL freq
Now vs history
32 CFS below optimal
Optimal window
100–230 CFS
Per-river researched optimal range
Typical range
116–382 CFS
25th–75th percentile
Seasonal context: Current flow is below typical for June. June median on this river: 71 CFS (n=56 hourly samples).
Clarity vs flow ranges
Steelhead Green likely now
84–127 CFS typical
Stained
192–270 CFS typical
Muddy
383–594 CFS typical
Low: Below typical — fish may be hugging deeper runs.
-2 -1 0 1 2 4394204440949 Theoretical z (standard normal) Sample flow (CFS)
Sample quantiles | Theoretical line Good fit (89%)

Points on the dashed line mean the river's flow distribution is log-normal. Bows at the tails suggest multiple flow regimes (snowmelt vs rain events) or sensor artifacts. The math for this river uses log-space statistics, so a poor fit here is a reason to squint at the optimal zone.

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30-Day Statistics

Min Flow
40 CFS
Max Flow
872 CFS
Avg Flow
160 CFS
Min Temp
51.3°F
Max Temp
73.4°F
Avg Temp
60.7°F

7-Day Fishing Outlook

Substantial precipitation in the forecast. Rivers will rise — fish the front end before conditions deteriorate.

Best day to fish: Friday — Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.

Friday is the day before rain moves in — barometric pressure drop often triggers aggressive feeding. Don't miss it.

Daily Fishing Forecast

Weather-based daily ratings — independent of current river flow. A "good" forecast day can still mean a blown-out river. Cross-reference with the Guide's Report above for a complete picture.

Overnight — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.

NWS Forecast Detail

Overnight: Mostly clear, with a low around 52. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

Wednesday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 82. West wind 3 to 7 mph.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph.

Thursday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Southwest wind 5 to 12 mph.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Southwest wind 6 to 10 mph.

Friday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Southwest wind 8 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.
Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Southwest wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Saturday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Moderate rain will push flows up. Water may get stained to muddy — switch to bright flies and heavier weight.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Southwest wind 12 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Sunday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Sunday: A chance of rain showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.

Monday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 58.

Tuesday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 80.

Forecast via NWS, updated 1 hour ago (5:04 AM EDT). Fishing ratings are estimates based on weather — always check current river conditions.

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