Irondequoit Creek

Excellent
Confidence: 51%
Sources: recent regression

About Irondequoit Creek

Irondequoit Creek drains 151 square miles of Rochester suburbs into Irondequoit Bay and Lake Ontario, less famous than the Genesee or Salmon River but a steady producer for anglers willing to fish it. The Powder Mills Park reach is the iconic access; the lower reach through the Penfield reaches and the Irondequoit Bay mouth holds fish in fall and spring. Limestone-influenced; fishes with consistency.

October through April. Peak runs late October through December and again March through April. Limestone influence keeps it clearer than other regional creeks. The optimal fishing flow on Irondequoit Creek is 180–400 CFS — flows above this range are typically too high and stained, flows below run low and clear. The river's long-term median flow is approximately 89 CFS, computed from the last several years of USGS gauge readings.

Current conditions (live, updated every 15 minutes): flow 96 CFS, water 65.3°F, clarity clear. Steelhead Addiction's Guide's Report rates the river EXCELLENT as of this reading.

STORM RECOVERING moderate
Storm ended: 2 days ago

Storm ended 52h ago; peak was 275 cfs; now at 120% of baseline.

Flow Rate
96
CFS
Gauge Height
3.18
ft
Water Temp
65.3
°F
Air Temp
72.9
°F
Clarity
Clear
Wind
🌬 Calm
≤5 mph

Last updated: 14 minutes ago (3:30 PM EDT)

Conditions today: Excellent. Trending: rough. Storm recovering.

Flow Pressure Air temp, scaled Rain per hour Storm pulse window Hourly flow pending Confidence: 0.51

Over the last three days, 0.43" of rain landed and the Irondequoit Creek answered. Flow climbed from 80 to 275 CFS over 5.0 hours, then started its drop-back. Water temp shifted rose by 1.0°F — that's the storm's footprint. Quiet sky on the way. Conditions should hold. Storm lifecycle says RECOVERING. Storm ended 52h ago; peak was 275 cfs; now at 120% of baseline. The useful window is the drop-back, not the peak.

Lookback window Sep 8, 3 pm to Sep 11, 3 pm ET. Data refresh every 15 min. This is a pattern read, not proof of causation; fish reserve the right to embarrass the spreadsheet.
Flow Pressure Air temp, scaled Rain per hour Storm pulse window Hourly flow pending

Over the last three days, 0.43" of rain landed and the Irondequoit Creek answered. Flow climbed from 80 to 275 CFS over 5.0 hours, then started its drop-back. Water temp shifted dropped by 5.9°F — that's the storm's footprint. Quiet sky on the way. Conditions should hold. Storm lifecycle says RECOVERING. Storm ended 52h ago; peak was 275 cfs; now at 120% of baseline. The useful window is the drop-back, not the peak.

Lookback window Sep 4, 3 pm to Sep 11, 3 pm ET. Data refresh every 15 min. This is a pattern read, not proof of causation; fish reserve the right to embarrass the spreadsheet.
Gauge Flow (CFS) Height (ft) Water Temp Updated
Irondequoit Creek above Blossom Rd, Rochester (primary) 96 3.18 65.3°F 14 minutes ago 3:30 PM EDT
Irondequoit Creek at Railroad Mills, Fishers 28 4.28 - 14 minutes ago 3:30 PM EDT

Guide's Report

excellent smallmouth bass fishing

Based on current conditions as of Fri, Sep 11 at 3:30 PM EDT (14 minutes ago)

Recovering nicely at 96 CFS, water is clear, 65°F — active warmwater feeding. This is the window you've been waiting for. The river is settling back down. Stay honest about visibility. Your Daily Dose of Flow, Clarity, and Chrome Fever.

Steelhead green DAWN DUSK 62° 55° 53° 55° 78° Sunset 7:27pm Solar Noon 1:06pm Dusk 7:56pm Sunrise 6:46am Solar Noon 1:06pm Dawn 6:18am 96 CFS Summer fresh bump 🌑 0% New Moon N E S W 5 W mph 30.03" inHg stable 65.3°F Water Temp Now 3:40pm
Irondequoit Creek
Today's Weather: Fair 72° N 8mph
Coming up: Mostly Clear
Flow Rate
0 CFS · 3.18 ft
44th percentile · Typical
Summer mode - fresh bump
24h trend
-24.4%
N E S W 5 W mph wind 72h ago now High 129 Normal 89 Low 70 Flood 312 OPT 6h 24h 72h 3.18ft
Summer fishability window 93–244 CFS
Current-month middle flow band for warm-water fishing
72h movement slight rise (+16.5%)
Status fresh bump · 3.18ft
Low water — projection flat
Confidence: 51%
Sources: recent regression
Clear · 73°F · W 5mph
30.03"
Guide says: Recovering nicely at 96 CFS, water is clear, 65°F — active warmwater feeding. This is the window you've been waiting for. The river is settling back down. Stay honest about visibility. Your Daily Dose of Flow, Clarity, and Chrome Fever.
"One More River Won't Hurt"

Recovering from recent storm pulse. Flow is dropping back after the peak; verify clarity before calling it prime.

Clear water — ideal for visual hunters like smallmouth. Long leaders, natural colors, and finesse presentations like drop-shots will produce. Recent storm pulse - sediment may still be settling; check on-water before committing.

Water at 65°F — post-spawn and early summer active zone. Bass are feeding aggressively in the shallows.

How to Fish It

Technique

This is tube and drop-shot weather. Drag tubes or drop-shots over rocky structures, reefs, and current seams. Active retrieve will trigger strikes.

Fly/Lure Selection

Clear water demands finesse. 6-8lb fluoro, natural colored tubes (watermelon, green pumpkin), 3-inch drop-shot worms, or small swimbaits.

Where to Fish

Work the transition zones where fast water meets slow eddies. Smallmouth hold on the edges of currents to intercept forage.

Timing

Dawn and dusk windows are prime. Get out early before the sun is high, or fish the last 90 minutes of light.

Storm Context

STORM RECOVERING moderate

Storm ended 52h ago; peak was 275 cfs; now at 120% of baseline.

Storm passed 2 days ago. The river is still settling, so expect dropping flow and clearing visibility before the better window opens.

  • - Wait for clarity to settle before calling it prime.
  • - Look for dropping flow and soft edges.
  • - Re-check this report before heading out.

Conditions

Bright skies — fish will hunker in deeper water and shaded lies. Focus on undercut banks, bridge shadows, and deeper runs.

Rigs to consider right now

Match the current report to a setup

All rig guides

Fall river plan

Irondequoit Creek summer fishing targets

Water temperature is in the active warmwater range. Expect bass and panfish to feed around current breaks, rock, and shade.

Smallmouth Bass

Where: boulder runs, bridge shade, pool tails, creek-mouth rock, and lower-river current breaks on Irondequoit Creek.

Move: tubes, Ned rigs, small jerkbaits, poppers, and crayfish-colored streamers.

Species guide →

Walleye

Where: lake mouths, harbor edges, deeper summer basin water, and low-light shoreline structure on Irondequoit Creek.

Move: crawler harnesses, crankbaits, jigs, and evening presentations near moving water.

Species guide →

Panfish

Where: docks, weed edges, ponds, marina slips, brush, and shaded shoreline structure on Irondequoit Creek.

Move: small jigs, waxworms, micro poppers, and slip floats for kids or fast action.

Species guide →

Northern Pike

Where: cooler weed edges, connected backwaters, tributary mouths, and ambush lanes on Irondequoit Creek.

Move: spinnerbaits, spoons, jerkbaits, and quick releases when water warms.

Species guide →

Current read

Water temp 65.3°F. Clarity is clear. Overall rating: Excellent for smallmouth bass. Use the graph below to time falling or stabilizing flows before committing a trip.

Summer FAQ

What can I fish for on Irondequoit Creek in summer?

Focus on the warm-water species shown above, then use the live flow, clarity, and temperature read to choose shade, rock, current breaks, creek mouths, lakefront structure, and low-light windows.

Steelhead care

Should I target steelhead on Irondequoit Creek in summer?

Usually no. When water is warm, shift to smallmouth, walleye, panfish, pike, or another summer target instead of pressuring stressed trout.

7-Day Flow & Temperature

Flow distribution

1095-day history · n=2,083 · 84% confidence

44th percentile · Below average
6h 24h 72h 96 CFS 70 p25 89 p50 129 p75 OPTIMAL freq
Now vs history
84 CFS below optimal
Optimal window
180–400 CFS
Per-river researched optimal range
Typical range
70–129 CFS
25th–75th percentile
Seasonal context: Current flow is below typical for September. September median on this river: 130 CFS (n=247 hourly samples).
Clarity vs flow ranges
Steelhead Green likely now
69–123 CFS typical
Stained
465–643 CFS typical
Below average: Quieter than usual — stealth matters.
-2 -1 0 1 2 5398179326593 Theoretical z (standard normal) Sample flow (CFS)
Sample quantiles | Theoretical line Fair fit — tails diverge (72%)

Points on the dashed line mean the river's flow distribution is log-normal. Bows at the tails suggest multiple flow regimes (snowmelt vs rain events) or sensor artifacts. The math for this river uses log-space statistics, so a poor fit here is a reason to squint at the optimal zone.

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30-Day Statistics

Min Flow
58 CFS
Max Flow
1,060 CFS
Avg Flow
128 CFS
Min Temp
62.4°F
Max Temp
71.2°F
Avg Temp
66.3°F

7-Day Fishing Outlook

Multiple days of heavy rain ahead — expect significant flow increases and muddy water. Plan trips for windows between rain events or 1-2 days after.

Best day to fish: Saturday — Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

Monday is the day before rain moves in — barometric pressure drop often triggers aggressive feeding. Don't miss it.

Daily Fishing Forecast

Weather-based daily ratings — independent of current river flow. A "good" forecast day can still mean a blown-out river. Cross-reference with the Guide's Report above for a complete picture.

Today — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

This Afternoon: Sunny, with a high near 72. North wind around 8 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 52. East wind 2 to 7 mph.

Saturday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Saturday: A slight chance of rain showers after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. South wind 3 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Saturday Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. South wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Sunday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Sunday: A chance of rain showers after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. West wind 6 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Northwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Monday: A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. North wind 5 to 8 mph.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. East wind 2 to 7 mph.

Tuesday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Moderate rain will push flows up. Water may get stained to muddy — switch to bright flies and heavier weight.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Tuesday: A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83.
Tuesday Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 8pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Wednesday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Wednesday: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Thursday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Moderate rain will push flows up. Water may get stained to muddy — switch to bright flies and heavier weight.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Thursday: A chance of rain showers before 2pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58.

Forecast via NWS, updated 1 hour ago (2:01 PM EDT). Fishing ratings are estimates based on weather — always check current river conditions.

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