Johnson Creek

Excellent

About Johnson Creek

Johnson Creek is a Lake Ontario tributary in New York, draining a 89-square-mile watershed. The river is part of the Lake Ontario steelhead and salmon fishery — distinct from Steelhead Alley but sharing the same species mix. Stocking and regulations are managed by the New York Department of Environmental Conservation (NY DEC).

The optimal fishing flow on Johnson Creek is 40–100 CFS — flows above this range are typically too high and stained, flows below run low and clear. The river's long-term median flow is approximately 864 CFS, computed from the last several years of USGS gauge readings. Steelhead enter the river from late September through early May, with peak runs typically in October–November and February–April.

Current conditions (live, updated every 15 minutes): flow 77 CFS, water 65.8°F, clarity clear. Steelhead Addiction's Guide's Report rates the river EXCELLENT as of this reading.

Johnson Creek has no active USGS flow gauge.

Gauge height and water temperature are available from the local sensor, but real-time discharge is not published. Use weather, forecasts, and angler reports as your primary indicators.

Flow Rate
77
CFS
Gauge Height
11.92
ft
Water Temp
65.8
°F
Air Temp
51
°F
Clarity
Clear
Wind
8
mph W

Last updated: 12 minutes ago (6:45 AM EDT)

Guide's Report

excellent smallmouth bass fishing

Based on current conditions as of Wed, Jun 3 at 6:45 AM EDT (12 minutes ago)

Report generated 6:57:53 AM EDT

Holding steady at 77 CFS, water is clear, 66°F — active warmwater feeding. If you own waders, today is the day. Holding steady. Fish are settled and predictable. Forecasting Bad Decisions Since First Ice.

Steelhead green DAWN DAWN DUSK 73° 74° 74° 62° 59° Sunset 8:48pm Solar Noon 1:11pm Dawn 4:59am Dusk 9:23pm Sunrise 5:33am Dawn 4:58am 77 CFS 🌖 90% Waning Gibbous N E S W 8 W mph 30.30" inHg stable 65.8°F Water Temp Now 6:57am
Johnson Creek
Today's Weather: Fair SW 6mph
Coming up: Mostly Clear
Flow Rate
0 CFS · 11.92 ft
1th percentile · Very Low
24h trend
+0.3%
N E S W 8 W mph wind 72h ago now High 1,480 Normal 864 Low 263 Flood 1,480 OPT 6h 24h 72h 11.92ft
Optimal window 40–100 CFS
Status In the sweet spot · 11.92ft
Clouds · 51°F · W 8mph
30.30"
Guide says: Holding steady at 77 CFS, water is clear, 66°F — active warmwater feeding. If you own waders, today is the day. Holding steady. Fish are settled and predictable. Forecasting Bad Decisions Since First Ice.
"Tailouts Don't Lie"

Flow is stable in the ideal range — fish are settled and holding in predictable lies.

Clear water — ideal for visual hunters like smallmouth. Long leaders, natural colors, and finesse presentations like drop-shots will produce.

Water at 66°F — post-spawn and early summer active zone. Bass are feeding aggressively in the shallows.

How to Fish It

Technique

This is tube and drop-shot weather. Drag tubes or drop-shots over rocky structures, reefs, and current seams. Active retrieve will trigger strikes.

Fly/Lure Selection

Clear water demands finesse. 6-8lb fluoro, natural colored tubes (watermelon, green pumpkin), 3-inch drop-shot worms, or small swimbaits.

Where to Fish

Focus on current breaks, behind large boulders, and slack water eddies along the banks.

Timing

Dawn and dusk windows are prime. Get out early before the sun is high, or fish the last 90 minutes of light.

What's Coming

Dry and stable — this is a consistent fishing window. Fish know where to hold, and you can pattern them.

Summer Species on Johnson Creek

Beyond steelhead — species actively targeted in Great Lakes tributaries right now.

See summer gear →

Water temp 65.8°F — warm enough for active warmwater species.

7-Day Flow & Temperature

Flow distribution

1095-day history · n=1,990 · 84% confidence

1th percentile · Low
6h 24h 72h 77 CFS 263 p25 864 p50 1,480 p75 OPTIMAL freq
Now vs history
In the sweet spot
Optimal window
40–100 CFS
Per-river researched optimal range
Typical range
263–1,480 CFS
25th–75th percentile
Seasonal context: Current flow is below typical for June. June median on this river: 94 CFS (n=56 hourly samples).
Clarity vs flow ranges
Steelhead Green likely now
91–106 CFS typical
Stained
100–154 CFS typical
Muddy
414–1,480 CFS typical
Low: Below typical — fish may be hugging deeper runs.
-2 -1 0 1 2 791703677911,701 Theoretical z (standard normal) Sample flow (CFS)
Sample quantiles | Theoretical line Fair fit — tails diverge (66%)

Points on the dashed line mean the river's flow distribution is log-normal. Bows at the tails suggest multiple flow regimes (snowmelt vs rain events) or sensor artifacts. The math for this river uses log-space statistics, so a poor fit here is a reason to squint at the optimal zone.

Recent Angler Reports

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Near Johnson Creek

Local Fly Shops & Guides Featured

Creek Chubs Guide Service

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Expert knowledge of every riffle and run on Oak Orchard Creek. Both beginner intro trips and pro-level steelhead trips available.

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Largest paddle shop between Rochester and Niagara Falls. Rentals, lessons, and river trips.

Oak Orchard Tackle & Lodge

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30+ years as licensed NYS guide. Catch-and-release fly fishing on Oak Orchard, Genesee, and Lake Ontario tribs.

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High Falls & Genesee Brew House

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96-ft urban waterfall in downtown Rochester. Rooftop pint at one of America's oldest breweries.

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30-Day Statistics

Min Flow
-22 CFS
Max Flow
1,480 CFS
Avg Flow
700 CFS
Min Temp
51.1°F
Max Temp
75°F
Avg Temp
61.3°F

7-Day Fishing Outlook

Substantial precipitation in the forecast. Rivers will rise — fish the front end before conditions deteriorate.

Best day to fish: Friday — Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.

Friday is the day before rain moves in — barometric pressure drop often triggers aggressive feeding. Don't miss it.

Daily Fishing Forecast

Weather-based daily ratings — independent of current river flow. A "good" forecast day can still mean a blown-out river. Cross-reference with the Guide's Report above for a complete picture.

Overnight — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.

NWS Forecast Detail

Overnight: Clear, with a low around 52. Southwest wind around 6 mph.

Wednesday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 74. West wind around 8 mph.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56. Southwest wind around 6 mph.

Thursday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Southwest wind around 9 mph.

Friday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Southwest wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Southwest wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Saturday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Moderate rain will push flows up. Water may get stained to muddy — switch to bright flies and heavier weight.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Southwest wind around 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Sunday — Angler's Report

good fishing
  • Light rain will bump flows slightly and give overcast skies — steelhead feed aggressively in these conditions.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Sunday: A chance of rain showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54.

Monday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.

Tuesday — Angler's Report

fair fishing
  • Dry conditions — flows should remain stable. Good day to target tailouts and runs.
  • Warm for steelhead season — focus on early morning when water is coolest.

NWS Forecast Detail

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.

Forecast via NWS, updated 1 hour ago (5:04 AM EDT). Fishing ratings are estimates based on weather — always check current river conditions.

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