The Steelhead Alley Index

Summer Mode

Sunday, July 26, 2026

The Steelhead Alley Index is in Summer Mode: it reads river conditions for warmwater targets while tributary steelhead are off the main menu. Today's score blends flow, water temperature, clarity, weather, barometric pressure, and active storm state for every active gauge into a single regional read.

93
Excellent
Underlying score: 58/100 · Index ranks vs. Jul 26 ±15-day history
▲ +6 vs. yesterday

Tomorrow's predicted Index

3 Blown 53% confidence

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook

Marginal Risk · 10 rivers in zone

Valid Jul 26 8:00am – Jul 27 8:00am EDT

Ashtabula River Rocky River near Berea Chagrin River @ Willoughby Vermilion River @ Vermilion Grand River near Painesville Cuyahoga River @ Independence Huron River Black River Euclid Creek Tuscarawas River

Source: NWS Storm Prediction Center (spc.noaa.gov). Risk tier indicates severe-weather (large hail, damaging wind, tornado) probability over the next 24 hours.

Storm Watch — by region

Four state+lake buckets · auto-refreshes when conditions change

OH · Erie

Quiet

All quiet — no rain, no alerts, no rapid rises.

PA · Erie

Moderate

2 rising

2 rivers rising 3.7×+ in 6h

NY · Erie

Quiet

All quiet — no rain, no alerts, no rapid rises.

NY · Ontario

Quiet

All quiet — no rain, no alerts, no rapid rises.

My Alley

Your Subset Score

Personal stat — separate from the official Alley Index above. Not for citing externally.

· rivers

Ranked vs. visible history

Last 90 days · 90 snapshots

Alley Index Your subset

of rivers blown

0 25 50 75 100 Apr 28 May 16 Jun 3 Jun 21 Jul 9 Jul 26 EXCELLENT GOOD AVERAGE POOR BLOWN

Today's Story

Warmwater targets have usable river options today. The Steelhead Alley Index is in Summer Mode at 93 (Excellent) today. Steelhead are off the main tributary menu; this read favors warmwater river conditions. The alley is WATCHING: 3 rivers have storm signals building. SPC Marginal risk overhead. Gauges still calm. Watch Vermilion River @ Vermilion, Black River, Euclid Creek.

What's actually biting right now: smallmouth bass in the lower river corridors, walleye near tributary mouths, panfish in the slack water. Eighteenmile Creek (Niagara) and Conneaut Creek are scoring highest among Alley rivers — worth a look for warm-water targets. See the gear shelf below for warm-water tackle.

By Technique & Region

Raw composite (0–100) — not percentile-ranked

Fly

58

Float

58

Erie Tribs

55

Ontario Tribs

66

All 31 Rivers — by State

River Rating Score
Ohio 11 rivers · avg 59
Conneaut Creek excellent 82
Grand River excellent 82
Ashtabula River good 73
Rocky River good 64
Cuyahoga River good 64
Huron River good 64
Chagrin River good 55
Brandy Run good 55
Vermilion River fair 36
Black River fair 36
Euclid Creek fair 36
Pennsylvania 4 rivers · avg 61
Walnut Creek excellent 82
Crooked Creek good 73
Elk Creek poor 45
Twenty Mile Creek poor 45
New York — Lake Erie 7 rivers · avg 45
Cattaraugus Creek good 64
Chautauqua Creek good 55
Cazenovia Creek good 55
Eighteen Mile Creek fair 36
Canadaway Creek fair 36
Silver Creek fair 36
Buffalo Creek fair 36
New York — Lake Ontario 9 rivers · avg 66
Eighteenmile Creek (Niagara) excellent 91
Sandy Creek (Hamlin) excellent 82
Irondequoit Creek excellent 82
Johnson Creek excellent 82
Salmon River good 55
Oak Orchard Creek fair 55
Genesee River good 55
Black River (Watertown) good 55
Sandy Creek (Adams) fair 36

Methodology. The Alley Index is a percentile rank — today's underlying conditions composite (mean of per-river fishing scores, 0–100) is compared to the historical record on this calendar window (±15 days, all years). An Index of 73 means today is better than 73% of comparable late-season days on record. Bands: Excellent 90+, Good 70–89, Average 30–69, Poor 10–29, Blown 0–9. Refreshed hourly. Season-calibrated: summer mode uses warmwater temperature bands, transition mode follows water temperature, and steelhead mode uses coldwater steelhead bands.

Index calibrating: percentile bands tighten as the historical archive grows. When fewer than 10 comparable days exist in the window, the Index falls back to the raw underlying score so the page always shows a meaningful number.

JSON API: /index/api

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