The Steelhead Alley Index

Transition Mode

Friday, September 11, 2026

The Steelhead Alley Index is in Transition Mode: water temperature decides whether the read behaves more like a coldwater steelhead window or a warmwater river window. Today's score blends flow, water temperature, clarity, weather, barometric pressure, and active storm state for every active gauge into a single regional read.

75
Good
Underlying score: 57/100 · Index ranks vs. Sep 11 ±15-day history
▲ +7 vs. yesterday

Tomorrow's predicted Index

68 Average 55% confidence

Storm Watch — by region

Four state+lake buckets · auto-refreshes when conditions change

OH · Erie

Quiet

All quiet — no rain, no alerts, no rapid rises.

PA · Erie

Quiet

All quiet — no rain, no alerts, no rapid rises.

NY · Erie

Quiet

All quiet — no rain, no alerts, no rapid rises.

NY · Ontario

Quiet

All quiet — no rain, no alerts, no rapid rises.

My Alley

Your Subset Score

Personal stat — separate from the official Alley Index above. Not for citing externally.

· rivers

Ranked vs. visible history

All-time · 228 snapshots

Alley Index Your subset

of rivers blown

0 25 50 75 100 Jan 26 Mar 12 Apr 26 Jun 10 Jul 25 Sep 9 Sep 11 EXCELLENT GOOD AVERAGE POOR BLOWN

Today's Story

Fall is unwinding into the run. The Steelhead Alley Index reads 73 (Good) today. Up 5 from yesterday.

Transition months are unpredictable — water temps swing, runs straggle, and what fished yesterday may not fish today. Conneaut Creek and Cattaraugus Creek are leading the Alley right now. Check live conditions before you commit to a drive.

By Technique & Region

Raw composite (0–100) — not percentile-ranked

Fly

75

Float

75

Erie Tribs

67

Ontario Tribs

89

All 31 Rivers — by State

River Rating Score
Ohio 11 rivers · avg 56
Conneaut Creek excellent 91
Huron River excellent 91
Ashtabula River good 73
Cuyahoga River good 73
Rocky River good 55
Vermilion River good 55
Chagrin River fair 45
Brandy Run fair 45
Black River fair 45
Euclid Creek fair 27
Grand River poor 18
Pennsylvania 4 rivers · avg 48
Walnut Creek good 64
Elk Creek fair 45
Crooked Creek fair 45
Twenty Mile Creek fair 36
New York — Lake Erie 7 rivers · avg 49
Cattaraugus Creek excellent 91
Buffalo Creek good 55
Chautauqua Creek fair 45
Eighteen Mile Creek fair 45
Canadaway Creek fair 45
Silver Creek fair 45
Cazenovia Creek poor 18
New York — Lake Ontario 9 rivers · avg 67
Genesee River excellent 91
Irondequoit Creek excellent 91
Johnson Creek excellent 91
Sandy Creek (Hamlin) good 64
Eighteenmile Creek (Niagara) good 64
Oak Orchard Creek good 55
Sandy Creek (Adams) good 55
Salmon River fair 45
Black River (Watertown) fair 45

Methodology. The Alley Index is a percentile rank — today's underlying conditions composite (mean of per-river fishing scores, 0–100) is compared to the historical record on this calendar window (±15 days, all years). An Index of 73 means today is better than 73% of comparable late-season days on record. Bands: Excellent 90+, Good 70–89, Average 30–69, Poor 10–29, Blown 0–9. Refreshed hourly. Season-calibrated: summer mode uses warmwater temperature bands, transition mode follows water temperature, and steelhead mode uses coldwater steelhead bands.

Index calibrating: percentile bands tighten as the historical archive grows. When fewer than 10 comparable days exist in the window, the Index falls back to the raw underlying score so the page always shows a meaningful number.

JSON API: /index/api

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